Posted date: September 3, 2012
The general empathy in Rarotonga during
this Forum – and has been since its suspension in 2009 - is with the people of Fiji .
That they are unrepresented not only at
the Forum leaders table but the all-important Pacific ACP group meeting held on
the sidelines of this August gathering.
Though there have been – or what appears to be – moves to bring that
country back on the democratic path, it is much too early to invite unelected
coup-installed military leader Commodore Frank Bainimarama back among the Forum
leaders’ fold.
To do so, though his opponents in the
Forum will not openly say so, will seriously diminish the Forum’s integrity,
credibility.
There are principled men there who do not
want to share a table with an unelected military dictator.
Who are very
conscious of the Forum makeup and how it appears to its international partners.
The Forum, of course, is a crucial source of millions in development grants and
assistance that is integral to national interests.
Realistically, despite the visionary
rhetoric from Bainimarama, nothing much has changed in Fiji since he
forcibly took over in 2006. That country is still being ruled by military
decree, there is no representative parliament, no transparent and accountable
governance, no legitimate rule of law, no creditable judiciary, the top
echelons of the public service is still loaded with unqualified military brass,
journalists continue to be suppressed by heavy handed media dictate and people
still cannot freely assemble nor, least, openly criticize the regime.
There is also the continued suppression
of political opposition best, well worst, illustrated by the recent witch hunt
that subsequently jailed deposed Prime Minister Laisenia Qarase for a
questionable corporate offense, allegedly, committed over 20 years ago, long
before he went into politics.
But there are a few Forum island leaders
who are willing to overlook all that.
Some wined and dined and convinced by
Bainimarama last week at Denarau, Nadi of what he says is his intentions, have
been making noises on offering political representation to the regime at some
Forum-PACP level.
A couple of small island states are
economically reliant on Fiji
and have no choice but to support the administration-of-the-day in Suva .
At the end of the day, governments and
leaders are judged not by what they promise but what they are and what they do.
So any offerings that could bring any legitimacy to the Suva
regime at the Forum level this week in Rarotonga ,
was quickly shot down.
Tuilaepa made sure of that.
You cannot defend nor promote a person
like Bainimarama at that level with any measure of conviction while holding a
straight face, his sympathizers probably now realize.
This column also doubts that holding
elections will immediately result in the automatic lifting Fiji ’s suspension at the Forum. Leaders
will be keen to see what sort of government will transpire, well manifest, from
the promised elections of 2014, especially with talks of Bainimarama now
working on setting up a political party. The last thing we want is a Mugabe or
an Idi Amin-type absolute regime in our midst.
In the run-up to this Forum, there was a
lot of talk that the Americans – conscious of growing Chinese involvement in
the region – would exert pressure on New Zealand
and Australia and Pacific Islands
leaders to invite Fiji
back into the Forum.
The truth is, though Key and Gillard wont
say it, it is extremely doubtful Canberra and Wellington really give two hoots what the Americans think
– or are said in the media to think – about Fiji . The U.S is not a Forum member
and was only represented – no less than Secretary of State Ms Hilary Clinton –
at the post-Forum partnership dialogue alongside other non-Forum members India , Indonesia ,
Japan , Malaysia and
others.
There were thirteen of them this year
and, sadly, there wasn’t enough time and space for European countries like Russia , Luxembourg
and the Ukraine
who are also courting the region and made formal requests to be represented in
Raro.
Ms Clinton did not mention Fiji in her
20-minute partnership address. Unsurprising, as obviously the issue of Fiji does not register in US, New Zealand and Australia ’s national interests,
which is the bottom line of all this diplomatic talk.
The Americans are relearning the region
fast and are shifting diplomatic gears. Unlike the Middle
East , this is a peaceful region where you are only as good as what
you offer and the friends you make. There is very little avenue, or return, in
trying to play-off countries and
leaders.
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